Author | Thread |
martin
Posts: 68675 Alba Posts: 108 Joined: 7/24/2001 Member: #2 USA |
1/10/2020 12:58 PM
I am a big fan of Triple's theory that most guys will show you what they got within 3 years of the league, it's a good barometer but feel there are a ton of caveats and whatnot. For instance, some guys just come into the league before they physically mature; is it OK to start the clock running before a player fills out? LeBron at 19 was obviously ready, but if Stephen Curry came into league at same time and was given a couple of years, would we see same traction to mega star after a couple of seasons? Donovan Mitchell was a bench player on his college team at 19 who averaged 7 points per game, how would he fair on an NBA team at the same time?
NBA teams need the 3-5 years because of $ and contract reasons but are those 3-5 years the same for an underdeveloped 19 year old versus a 21/22 year old? Steph came into league at 21 and I think everyone knew he could be a high level guard but no one saw his full potential until his 4th year. If Steph came into league at 19 what would his eval been at 21 or 22? Now, add to that cultural changes for a foreign player (his family support system did not come to USA). Does the clock need to be extended? Feel like Frank is still literally physically figuring out his arms and shooting motion. For me, Frank came into the league about 2 years too early. (Now, it was obviously Franks decision to join NBA at 19 and you certainly gotta earn the $5M per they are giving you being a first round lottery pick.) I don't really know what he did on his French team but I'm guessing it was off bench and just defending. That French league probably had full adults that were more physically mature than NCAA college guys but it surely was not a good Euro league? No idea how much training he was actually getting. As a PG coming into NBA, he had almost no handle. Confidence was shot and that affects jumpshot and everything. Injury second year. I think Frank has improved every year, even if it was minuscule between first and second year, and Fiz did no favors for him last year. The jump this year is not significant but it is palpable, and he continues to improve which is key for me to long term evaluation of a player: as long as you are improving, the clock gets extended a bit. And obviously there are differences in improvement, i.e. only increasing your FT% and having everything else stay the same wouldn't extend that clock IMHO, gaining a handle, learning team defense, running a team, those are significant areas. Also, correcting obvious mistakes is a big step forward; i.e. I hate it that Dot gets back door'ed all the time, 3 years in the league and he does not have the capacity to fix this, big negative. Not fixing weakness and improving are big, telling benchmarks for me. If Frank came into the league this year, we would all be ecstatic. Feel like he almost couldn't be a PG in league when he first came in because he couldn't really dribble or shoot or finish at rim; all have started to come along for first time this year. And now he can actually probe with PnR (and obviously there were instances where Frank ran PnR the first year but how consistent was it, etc.?) and probe defenses in general but he has no clue how to. Knicks IMHO have done good for him on the midrange possibilities, let him do what he is comfortable with and build from there. Feel like Frank still doesn't know how to get to rim and finish, but you can't even start doing that (in his circumstance) without a handle, I'm guessing most guys learn and figure that out in high school and first couple of years in college, not sure Frank had that opportunity (guessing in HS he was just physically dominant and then in pro league he didn't even try). For me, I would start that 3 year window this year and see how it runs, his potential IMHO has not been figured out at all. Lots of areas he obviously needs big improvements on to get past solid backup on a playoff team but sky is still there and it has no cap. Is Frank going to be a superstar? No. Can he be a high level starter on a deep playoff team? TBD Tweet was deleted or there was problem with the URL:
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BigDaddyG
Posts: 37539 Alba Posts: 9 Joined: 1/22/2010 Member: #3049 |
1/10/2020 2:43 PM
martin wrote:I am a big fan of Triple's theory that most guys will show you what they got within 3 years of the league, it's a good barometer but feel there are a ton of caveats and whatnot. For instance, some guys just come into the league before they physically mature; is it OK to start the clock running before a player fills out? LeBron at 19 was obviously ready, but if Stephen Curry came into league at same time and was given a couple of years, would we see same traction to mega star after a couple of seasons? Donovan Mitchell was a bench player on his college team at 19 who averaged 7 points per game, how would he fair on an NBA team at the same time? Those corner threes 😍 Always... always remember: Less is less. More is more. More is better and twice as much is good too. Not enough is bad, and too much is never enough except when it's just about right.
- The Tick
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GustavBahler
Posts: 41138 Alba Posts: 15 Joined: 7/12/2010 Member: #3186 |
1/10/2020 3:40 PM
martin wrote:I am a big fan of Triple's theory that most guys will show you what they got within 3 years of the league, it's a good barometer but feel there are a ton of caveats and whatnot. For instance, some guys just come into the league before they physically mature; is it OK to start the clock running before a player fills out? LeBron at 19 was obviously ready, but if Stephen Curry came into league at same time and was given a couple of years, would we see same traction to mega star after a couple of seasons? Donovan Mitchell was a bench player on his college team at 19 who averaged 7 points per game, how would he fair on an NBA team at the same time? Expectations have changed since Frank was drafted. As good as he's playing now, he's still not starting material. He's playing like a very good backup. For a lotto pick, who had pro experience coming in, Id call Frank's more aggressive play welcome. Not good enpugh yet to justify picking him at 8. Would have traded down to get him. Frank has to show his recent aggressive play is sustainable. We've been teased before. Will say this run looks like his best shot yet at really turning the corner. |
GustavBahler
Posts: 41138 Alba Posts: 15 Joined: 7/12/2010 Member: #3186 |
1/11/2020 9:46 AM LAST EDITED: 1/11/2020 9:47 AM
https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/NYK/draft.html
One reason why Frank became such a divisive issue was the lack of 1st round picks back then, and the success (or lack thereof) of the few we made. Hardaway was shipped. Too many years with just a second round pick. We have all our 1st rounders (and then some) a top 3 pick playing like one. A second round pick who is the most efficient scorer in the league right now. Back then we had Early and KP, and that was about it. Getting the pick right back then was a bigger deal. Why the debates got so heated at times. |