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538 Season Predictions
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arkrud
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10/15/2018  3:26 PM
29 wins as usual last couple of yers...
This was pretry accurate and looks very probable for thls se
ason
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martin
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10/15/2018  3:46 PM
Cartman718 wrote:
martin wrote:
Cartman718 wrote:
djsunyc wrote:
Marv wrote:love love love it. develop these kids and add a super high draft pick.

can't open the link on my phone - can you tell me who they have with the 2nd best shot at winning the title?

rockets i think should be the right answer. this is where i think their prediction model fails because they actually have raptors in there, which we all know is impossible.

Odds. Chance of winning. You can't win if you don't GET to the finals. Toronto has better odds cause at least they have a shot by being IN the finals.

and in my opinion, the rockets have a better chance of coming out of the west than the raptors do to come out of the east. not sure if this factors stuff like that in.

pretty sure they didn't factor in your opinion lol

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djsunyc
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10/15/2018  4:11 PM    LAST EDITED: 10/15/2018  4:11 PM
Juliano wrote:It's surprising they have the Raptors ahead of the Celtics, one team has just swapped its major player and the other is totally stable and were close to being in the finals without its two main offensive players. To think they could finish the season as champions yet still get the top pick... those are well managed, there's hardly a decade without them winning a chip.

as of today, i rank the celtics slightly higher than toronto. but it's a long season and a lot of questions need to be answered. mainly, how will kawhi + nurse perform and can irving + hayward stay healthy.

i'm picking toronto and boston to be 1 & 2 in terms of drtg this season.

i think they are also using offense as a factor - toronto should be top 3 in ortg while boston will be further down.
CrushAlot
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10/15/2018  4:28 PM
They have the nets winning 13 more games then the Knicks.
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VCoug
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10/15/2018  5:17 PM
franco12 wrote:ouch! This will be a long season if we end up this bad.

For those too lazy to google:

The new system will level the odds at the top of the NBA Draft Lottery so that the teams with the three worst regular-season records will each have a 14 percent chance of winning the lottery. In the current structure, the top seed has 25 percent of the lottery odds, the second seed has 19.9 percent and the third seed has 15.6 percent.

http://www.nba.com/article/2017/09/28/nba-board-governors-approves-changes-draft-lottery-system

I agree - it will be worth it to land a top 3/4 talent again - we just are so depleted from the last decade of mismanagement.

Also, the top 4 picks are decided by the lottery. Previously, it was only the top 3.

Now the joy of my world is in Zion How beautiful if nothing more Than to wait at Zion's door I've never been in love like this before Now let me pray to keep you from The perils that will surely come
Cartman718
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10/16/2018  8:50 AM
martin wrote:
Cartman718 wrote:
martin wrote:
Cartman718 wrote:
djsunyc wrote:
Marv wrote:love love love it. develop these kids and add a super high draft pick.

can't open the link on my phone - can you tell me who they have with the 2nd best shot at winning the title?

rockets i think should be the right answer. this is where i think their prediction model fails because they actually have raptors in there, which we all know is impossible.

Odds. Chance of winning. You can't win if you don't GET to the finals. Toronto has better odds cause at least they have a shot by being IN the finals.

and in my opinion, the rockets have a better chance of coming out of the west than the raptors do to come out of the east. not sure if this factors stuff like that in.

pretty sure they didn't factor in your opinion lol


lol i guess i am saying realistically a lot of NBA pundits and fans would agree so the 538 site predictions are nowhere a realistic model
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wargames
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10/16/2018  10:02 AM
CrushAlot wrote:They have the nets winning 13 more games then the Knicks.

Having a better record than the Lnicks is their only goal so I could see them doing it

The algorithm gives and the algorithm takes away
Nalod
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10/16/2018  10:24 AM
Is that their stated value proposition from the FO regarding this season?
93BUICK
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10/17/2018  10:20 PM
Same site had Hillary C winning in a blowout over Voldemort. Gotta play the games!!!
If you are still following the team and reading sites like this, there is nothing, short of your own demise, that is going to throw you off this train.
Olbrannon
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10/18/2018  7:14 PM
NYKBocker wrote:Am I the only one that thinks we are winning 50+ games this year?

Yes

Bill Simmons on Tyreke Evans "The prototypical 0-guard: Someone who handles the ball all the time, looks for his own shot, gets to the rim at will and operates best if his teammates spread the floor to watch him."
VCoug
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10/18/2018  10:51 PM
93BUICK wrote:Same site had Hillary C winning in a blowout over Voldemort. Gotta play the games!!!

No, they didn't. They gave the Orange Mussolini a 33% chance of winning.

Now the joy of my world is in Zion How beautiful if nothing more Than to wait at Zion's door I've never been in love like this before Now let me pray to keep you from The perils that will surely come
Jmpasq
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10/21/2018  3:40 PM
NYKBocker wrote:Am I the only one that thinks we are winning 50+ games this year?

If by winning you mean losing, or if you think this year is 2023. If not then yes your the only one

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BigDaddyG
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10/21/2018  3:42 PM
Jmpasq wrote:
NYKBocker wrote:Am I the only one that thinks we are winning 50+ games this year?

If by winning you mean losing, or if you think this year is 2023. If not then yes your the only one


He included the Westchester Knicks in that prediction.
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SupremeCommander
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11/29/2018  9:55 AM
I'll take the under
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