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538 Season Predictions
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Andrew
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10/15/2018  12:11 PM
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-nba-predictions/

23-59 and the top lottery seed. Perfect!

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Juliano
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10/15/2018  12:14 PM    LAST EDITED: 10/15/2018  12:14 PM
I just read it and considered posting the link. Not very optimistic are they?
martin
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10/15/2018  12:15 PM
Juliano wrote:I just read it and considered posting the link. Not very optimistic are they?

Very optimistic for the top seed! Just like we want it

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Juliano
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10/15/2018  12:20 PM    LAST EDITED: 10/15/2018  12:20 PM
I thought there was a change in the lottery rules which makes last spot not so important anymore. Something like the bottom three have the same odds?
Nalod
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10/15/2018  12:48 PM
No sugar coating this season!
SupremeCommander
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10/15/2018  12:52 PM
Juliano wrote:I thought there was a change in the lottery rules which makes last spot not so important anymore. Something like the bottom three have the same odds?

I think it's top 5 have same odds... not 100%. That said, yes, there are rules like that in place. The lesson is, when you wait to do crap like this, things change and you never catch up. We could have the worst record in the league and end up with the fifth pick, because that's what happens around here

Sambakick wrote: Gives a whole new meaning to "Jazz Hands"
Marv
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10/15/2018  1:06 PM
love love love it. develop these kids and add a super high draft pick.
BigDaddyG
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10/15/2018  1:42 PM
Cool. There should be no pressure on out part to rush KP. Just let it ride. The tankathon for Zion is on!
Always... always remember: Less is less. More is more. More is better and twice as much is good too. Not enough is bad, and too much is never enough except when it's just about right. - The Tick
franco12
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10/15/2018  1:53 PM
ouch! This will be a long season if we end up this bad.

For those too lazy to google:

The new system will level the odds at the top of the NBA Draft Lottery so that the teams with the three worst regular-season records will each have a 14 percent chance of winning the lottery. In the current structure, the top seed has 25 percent of the lottery odds, the second seed has 19.9 percent and the third seed has 15.6 percent.

http://www.nba.com/article/2017/09/28/nba-board-governors-approves-changes-draft-lottery-system

I agree - it will be worth it to land a top 3/4 talent again - we just are so depleted from the last decade of mismanagement.

Andrew
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10/15/2018  2:04 PM
http://www.tankathon.com/

Tankathon updated the odds. Is it too early to start simulating?

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Andrew
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10/15/2018  2:05 PM
Geeze....Boston has Sacramento, Memphis and their own pick this year.
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Cartman718
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10/15/2018  2:10 PM
Andrew wrote:Geeze....Boston has Sacramento, Memphis and their own pick this year.

the rich keep getting richer. wtf.
that team is already loaded without kyrie and with 3 picks next year, of which sac and mem both expected to be great, they'll have their "process" already completed...

Nixluva is posting triangle screen grabs, even when nobody asks - Fishmike. LOL So are we going to reference that thread like the bible now? "The thread of Wroten Page 14 post 9" - EnySpree
djsunyc
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10/15/2018  2:12 PM
Marv wrote:love love love it. develop these kids and add a super high draft pick.

can't open the link on my phone - can you tell me who they have with the 2nd best shot at winning the title?

Cartman718
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10/15/2018  2:14 PM    LAST EDITED: 10/15/2018  2:16 PM
djsunyc wrote:
Marv wrote:love love love it. develop these kids and add a super high draft pick.

can't open the link on my phone - can you tell me who they have with the 2nd best shot at winning the title?

rockets i think should be the right answer. this is where i think their prediction model fails because they actually have raptors in there, which we all know is impossible.

Nixluva is posting triangle screen grabs, even when nobody asks - Fishmike. LOL So are we going to reference that thread like the bible now? "The thread of Wroten Page 14 post 9" - EnySpree
Marv
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10/15/2018  3:04 PM
djsunyc wrote:
Marv wrote:love love love it. develop these kids and add a super high draft pick.

can't open the link on my phone - can you tell me who they have with the 2nd best shot at winning the title?

keep lining up to kick that football charlie brown . . .

martin
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10/15/2018  3:05 PM
Cartman718 wrote:
djsunyc wrote:
Marv wrote:love love love it. develop these kids and add a super high draft pick.

can't open the link on my phone - can you tell me who they have with the 2nd best shot at winning the title?

rockets i think should be the right answer. this is where i think their prediction model fails because they actually have raptors in there, which we all know is impossible.

Odds. Chance of winning. You can't win if you don't GET to the finals. Toronto has better odds cause at least they have a shot by being IN the finals.

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Cartman718
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10/15/2018  3:12 PM
martin wrote:
Cartman718 wrote:
djsunyc wrote:
Marv wrote:love love love it. develop these kids and add a super high draft pick.

can't open the link on my phone - can you tell me who they have with the 2nd best shot at winning the title?

rockets i think should be the right answer. this is where i think their prediction model fails because they actually have raptors in there, which we all know is impossible.

Odds. Chance of winning. You can't win if you don't GET to the finals. Toronto has better odds cause at least they have a shot by being IN the finals.

and in my opinion, the rockets have a better chance of coming out of the west than the raptors do to come out of the east. not sure if this factors stuff like that in.

Nixluva is posting triangle screen grabs, even when nobody asks - Fishmike. LOL So are we going to reference that thread like the bible now? "The thread of Wroten Page 14 post 9" - EnySpree
Juliano
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10/15/2018  3:13 PM
It's surprising they have the Raptors ahead of the Celtics, one team has just swapped its major player and the other is totally stable and were close to being in the finals without its two main offensive players. To think they could finish the season as champions yet still get the top pick... those are well managed, there's hardly a decade without them winning a chip.
NYKBocker
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10/15/2018  3:14 PM
Am I the only one that thinks we are winning 50+ games this year?
Cartman718
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10/15/2018  3:15 PM
NYKBocker wrote:Am I the only one that thinks we are winning 50+ games this year?

you and nixluva :)

Nixluva is posting triangle screen grabs, even when nobody asks - Fishmike. LOL So are we going to reference that thread like the bible now? "The thread of Wroten Page 14 post 9" - EnySpree
538 Season Predictions

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