nyknickzingis wrote:Cant see Kanter pass on free agency this year.
He'll be able to get a 4 year deal with guaranteed money.
He is not a star in the sense that even if he delays a year the money is guaranteed to be there a year later. He is playing fantastic basketball right now. He's seen as a leader. Good teammate. This will all play in. I think he opts out and commands something north of 60 million.
There have been some decent to pretty good big men who came into the league in the past few drafts. The value of rim protection is important, but not as scarce as it used to be ( And Kanter can't protect the rim) There are also a lot of bad contract big men teams want to dump and who will chew up the 3rd/4th big on the roster positions around the league.
Many teams are cap locked. Many will enter the tax zone. No one is going into the luxury tax for Kanter. No one is going to accelerate their repeater tax for Kanter. He's not going to see his current AAV ever again.
99 percent chance he will opt in, try to keep boosting his value, and then see how the market shakes out the offseason after next.
Most players will opt in if they have a player option and a high AAV. Noel and Caldwell Pope turned down long term money and are in a bit of limbo now. Teams see that. Players see that.
If Kanter was so palatable and useful at his current AAV, the Thunder would have had no problem trading him earlier. And they tried to trade him for a LONG TIME. It means he's overpaid to market. Which means he has every incentive to opt in, take one more big payday for next year and see what happens. He's still "young" enough where waiting one year isn't going to extensively damage his ability to try to get a four year later.
Kanter has close to no trade value. He simply does not. He was available for a reason. Guys here who think he has actual positive trade value are either misreading the market or have, sorry to say, a poor understanding of it in general.
Kanter is likely going to opt in. Could he opt out? Yes, in theory. But it would be a poor market based decision for him. Then again, he was stupid enough to attack the Utah fanbase in public, so anything is possible.
There really isn't that much money out there this coming offseason. He can't defend the rim, he's a net negative on defense, he's a blackhole on offense ( he can score, but he's not efficient) and he can't space the floor. Opting out means he might get a 2 year deal with a much lower AAV.
He's getting burn on the Knicks now because he's essentially the 2nd scoring option getting a lot of touches and using volume to his advantage. Again, he's not an all around efficient player. He does get rebounds. He can work the low post. But both elements are true in part because he doesn't do anything useful on defense. Lots of players could hoover a ton of rebounds if they had no rim protection responsibilities. Rebounding and altering shots in the vein of actual rim protection is valuable. Just raw rebounding as a counting stat at the cost of everything else is not. A pivot who has 8 rebounds and no blocks could have actually had a bigger game impact than a guy with 15 rebounds and 3 blocks.
He's played well so far, in a HANDFUL OF GAMES.
Do you know what "hogging" is all about.
It's about a single dude in a slump for banging chicks. So he gets easy low resistant chicks because he's "thirsty", basically he's banging fat chicks. I.E. "hogging"
A lot of Knicks fans are "thirsty" It's been a long dry spell to see a player who seems to actually give a ****. It's also nice to see some effort, team ball and a few wins after some ugly years. It's nice to see a player show some grit rather than the stupid hat Melo shotjacker routine.
Giving Kanter a huge extension after just a handful of games with effort is basically going "hogging" and then deciding to give the chick an engagement ring. No one else wanted Kanter in a trade for a reason. No one is going out of their way to marry a land whale for a reason.
He's going to likely opt in, let him, then see how it goes. He then has every incentive to keep playing hard. How many guys stop playing hard in the NBA once they get paid?