Bonn1997 wrote:.200 team run by a GM with an unimpressive first 14 months? Obviously the odds are against us and it would be blind optimism to think the answer is yes.
With the cap space and draft pick, there is the possibility of a pleasant surprise though.
If we don't make the playoffs, we hand over another lottery pick.
The record is certainly unimpressive, however are you being intellectually dishonest by not acknowledging that the team's abysmal record is a by-product of both the carry-over roster from last year as well as Phil's eventual in-season decision to tank? It would appear that the Knicks best course of action was to clean house by trading guys that were not part of their future plans and at the same time, tanking to get as high of a draft pick as possible - realizing that a high draft pick is either a tremendous trade asset or valuable in trying to acquire a young cornerstone player.
If you look at Phil's moves - here is the basic net.......
Coaches - replaced Woodson with Fisher and Rambus. So far, not so good - however it would be reasonable to be guarded when measuring Fisher's tenure to date as the roster was in tank mode for a majority of the year.
Players -
Out -
Tyson Chandler
Ray Felton
Jeremy Tyler
Amare Stoudemire
Pablo Prigioni
JR Smith
Iman Shumpert
In (either roster or rights)
Jose Calderon
Shane Larkin
Cleanthony Early
Thanisis
Quincy Acy
Langston Galloway
Travis Wear
Jason Smith
Orlando Sanchez
Lance Thomas
Lou Amundson
Alex Schved
Ricky Ledo
Louis Labeyrie
3 Future 2nd Round Picks
Certainly if you examine the exchange - the "Out" players had no future in NYC either due to expiring contracts, age or otherwise. The "In" players are mostly younger reaches or role playing veterans. So there remains certain potential in the players Phil brought in, while the players he disposed of had exhausted their potential. Given the players on the "out" list and the fact that the Knicks had no cap mobility coming in to this year, not sure how this is so unimpressive of a return for the players given up....with the following exceptions.......
Tyson - certainly the general feeling is that Tyson could have brought a greater return than Calderon, Larkin, Early and Thanisis. Perhaps this is true - however it would have most likely required the Knicks to hold onto Tyson and trade him in-season on the risk of a contending team injury...such as the Cleveland/Denver trade for Mozgov.....however there were other factors at play. Tyson was on a fairly expensive expiring, he is an older player with mileage, he was coming off an injury plagued inconsistent season and he was unhappy. Further, he was not in the Knicks future plans. So the Knicks might have kept him and played better this year - only to lose their high pick positioning for only a slight trade return upgrade (think late round first rounder) .....or lose him to Free Agency for nothing at all.
Melo - the resigning of Melo was controversial given his price tag and eventual injury. The benefit of resigning Melo is that they retained an asset who can be used to either produce on the court or can be eventually traded for other assets (assuming Melo is convinced to waive his no-trade - which would be more likely if the team continues to not play well). The drawback to resigning Melo was that he takes up significant cap space which can be used during a rebuild to sign other players. It was certainly a risk, but it is difficult at this point to definitively say if it was the correct move or not. For instance, if Melo comes back plays well and helps the team make the playoffs or is traded for assets - it is a positive. If Melo is beset by dramatic injuries ala Amare, then it certainly will be a negative. Only time will tell.
Calderon - everyone is worried about Calderon's cap hit for the coming 2-3 years. However he was injured and can be stretched if needed to make roster room for a FA signing. Further with the Cap expansions in out years - his hit will be relatively insignificant. Also, he did play injured for much of the time he was on the court - if he is retained and comes back as a solid bench player, it will negate much of the bad press in his acquisition, given that who he was traded for (Tyson) is a FA on to his next contract.
So I am unclear how anyone can say that the first 14 months has been unimpressive. Perhaps you are only measuring a year at a time. However it would seem more prudent to take into account that this year turned out to be a staging for future years in terms of roster moves. Consider that if only one of the players that Phil brought in, such as Galloway, turns out to be an above average NBA player - he is ahead of the game considering he gave up guys who were not in future plans or did not perform well in NY.