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we are gonna screw up the draft position
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markvmc
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3/1/2015  12:25 AM
Having the worst record doesn't guarantee anything of course--that's why they call it a lottery--but it does give you the best chance of winning that lottery. The "best chance" however, is still relatively unlikely to occur, as it is measured against the sum of all the other less good chances.

And yes, over the course of recent history, the top pick has not tended to go to the team with the very worst record. But you're nuts if you think that this shows some kind of trend. And you're nuts if you think that finishing with the second/third/fourth worst record somehow gives us a better shot at the one pick.

Put it this way. If you had 10 tickets in a 100 ticket lottery draw, and 1 other guy had 4 tickets, 1 other had 6 and 80 others had one ticket each, you'd have the best chance. You'd still only have a 1 in ten chance of winning though. So chances are, you wouldn't win. But you'd be insane to trade places with the second or third best shots of winning.

So keep losing. Give yourself the best statistical shot at the one pick that you can, and let the balls fall where they will. But for ****s sake, stop winning meaningless games.

AUTOADVERT
nixluva
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3/1/2015  1:20 AM
I think the last 2 games weren't meaningless wins. For one thing for each player that we have who shows the should stay that is worth millions in savings on the cap for next year. We need to know what we have with a lot of these players. Guys that will be much cheaper than trying to bring in all new Free Agents and with these players they already know the system and each other, which means you can have some continuity. We have some young guys who we need to see develop and so every time they come out and show some growth it's GREAT for our future. We can't control which pick we end up with but we can do our best to develop the players we have and evaluate who can excel in this system and who can't.

We're still in the lottery and unless this team really goes on a big streak we're likely to stay in the lottery. This is a good situation when the team wins because they actually are doing the right things and showing growth and development.

BRIGGS
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3/1/2015  8:05 AM
We were just down by 20 to Detroit in the 3 TD period and they only lost on a fluke play. We were seconds from potentially losing last night. There was going to be a slight uptick with bargs getting back to scoring 20 points hard a way has steppes up and we miss Calderon's poor play
RIP Crushalot😞
blkexec
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3/1/2015  8:12 AM
The nba lottery is set up to prevent tanking. If you like the tanking strategy that bad.....Send a million emails to Silver to emulate the NFL.

This is compared to those that spend half their fortune to buy as many lottery tickets they can buy...Just to lose to an old lady who bought 1 ticket right before you and won. We are not in full blown tank mode. But this is an example of how Phil kills 2 birds with 1 stone. He's doing an audition for the end of the bench players. Building the team from the bottom up instead of the traditional top down.

So he's trying to get a top pick but also having a training session in triangle 101. This is Phils style which i like. He hides his tanking while developing his bench. Hopefully he can continue this 2 for 1 strategy with the draft. The announcer at the Kentucky game said Phil is here to potentially draft the entire Kentucky team. That team is loaded.......Also are the Duke guards that good or is it the attention to OK4 that makes them look better?

Born in Brooklyn, Raised in Queens, Lives in Maryland. The future is bright, I'm a Knicks fan for life!
gunsnewing
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3/1/2015  8:44 AM
BRIGGS wrote:We were just down by 20 to Detroit in the 3 TD period and they only lost on a fluke play. We were seconds from potentially losing last night. There was going to be a slight uptick with bargs getting back to scoring 20 points hard a way has steppes up and we miss Calderon's poor play

yea we really need Calderon to get back

markvmc
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3/1/2015  9:53 AM
nixluva wrote:I think the last 2 games weren't meaningless wins. For one thing for each player that we have who shows the should stay that is worth millions in savings on the cap for next year. We need to know what we have with a lot of these players. Guys that will be much cheaper than trying to bring in all new Free Agents and with these players they already know the system and each other, which means you can have some continuity. We have some young guys who we need to see develop and so every time they come out and show some growth it's GREAT for our future. We can't control which pick we end up with but we can do our best to develop the players we have and evaluate who can excel in this system and who can't.

We're still in the lottery and unless this team really goes on a big streak we're likely to stay in the lottery. This is a good situation when the team wins because they actually are doing the right things and showing growth and development.

I get your point about assessing who stays/goes. But this is how we lost out on Steph Curry--by winning a few games that meant nothing other than lowering our draft position.

Vmart
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3/1/2015  9:59 AM
The winning has to stop. There is no place for these BS wins. The past has shown us that, I don't care to relive the past so stop winning these meaningless games. I already know we have a decent group of players who can contribute to the team next year. Only few more games left I pray they don't f this up.
Moonangie
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3/1/2015  10:06 AM
STOP WINNING MUFFAHS!!!!
gunsnewing
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3/1/2015  10:10 AM    LAST EDITED: 3/1/2015  10:12 AM
Watch us get pick 11

no Towns
no Ok4
no Russel
no Mudiay
no Portis
no Johnson
no Stein
no Winslow
no Turner
no Porzingis

smackeddog
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3/1/2015  11:18 AM
I feared this was coming. our schedule to start the year was horrific, now we are playing the crap teams pretty much the rest of the way.

Argh! Kings, Pacers twice, Nuggets, Jazz, Lakers, (Warrirors), Suns, (Spurs), Twolves, 76ers, Craptors, (Griz, Clips), Celtics, (Bulls), Nets, Wiz, 76ers, Pacers, (Bucks), Magic, Hawks (who may be resting by that point of the season), Pistons.

Dangerous times! We absolutely have to lose the two 76er games, and the TWolves game, and the Laker game, and hopefully lose most of the others.

newyorker4ever
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3/1/2015  11:19 AM
nixluva wrote:Bargs biggest issue has been health. He had a series of injuries that robbed him of being able to properly prepare in the off season and each time it set him back and he had to start all over again trying to get his conditioning and timing back. Now he's finally getting his confidence back. He had stretches even last year when he started to show what he could do if healthy but he got injured again and went back to zero.

As for the draft lets just say that this team is going to be in the lottery no matter what they do. Winning a few games won't change that. I'd rather see the team at least show that we have some quality young players still developing and some role players who should be brought back at very low prices. That's a net win for this team if it works out that way.


Denver 20 38 .345 26 ½ 12-17 8-21 4-8 13-21 99.5 104.3 -4.8 Lost 5 1-9
Orlando 19 41 .317 28 ½ 9-19 10-22 4-9 12-26 95.6 101.1 -5.5 Lost 2 4-6
LA Lakers 16 41 .281 30 9-19 7-22 2-9 7-29 99.6 106.0 -6.4 Won 3 3-7
Philadelphia 13 45 .224 33 ½ 8-20 5-25 1-10 9-27 90.3 100.7 -10.4 Won 1 3-7
Minnesota 13 45 .224 33 ½ 8-22 5-23 2-7 5-29 97.7 105.5 -7.8 Lost 2 5-5
New York 12 46 .207 34 ½ 8-21 4-25 4-7 8-30 93.0 100.9 -7.9 Won 2 2-8

His offense has never been the part of his game that's been in question when he's healthy, it's his defense and injuries and how long it takes him to get healthy from his injuries that have been the problem, but his offense has always been good.
newyorker4ever
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3/1/2015  11:24 AM
EnySpree wrote:I just want to continue to build this team. If this group plays hard for each other....let them play **** it. I can deal with not getting okafor, russell, towns and mundiay....none of those guys have really been that mind blowing truthfully. Of course we'd be better off with one of them. I'm just saying....I could take Willie stein as a consultation price with no problem.

Yeah there's other players coming out that have a chance to be really good besides the top four of OK4,Towns,Russell and Mudiay. Guys like S.Johnson,WCS,Kaminsky and there's a couple of guys from europe in K.Porzingis and M.Hezonja who have a chance of being really good and there's others. It's a pretty good draft for the top half.
newyorker4ever
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3/1/2015  11:31 AM
StarksEwing1 wrote:
blkexec wrote:I was waiting to see who would start this thread....Unbelievable!

I feel sorry for the knick players and management, if they actually read these threads.

This is why I like Phil.....not because of the GM skills, but his strong will to ignore NY fans and stay on course.

would you like to know where phil has been the past few days, he was scouting russell and towns. Im the biggest knick fan out there. I go to at least 5—6 games every year and im not rich so i wouldnt waste money if i hated the team. I simply feel getting a top 3 pick helps get better quicker

Well first of all....I'm the biggest Knicks fan but you're right that of course getting one of the top 3 guys or 4 with OK4,Towns,Russell and Mudiay would help us more than the others unless we find the gem of the draft which they all have. I'm not too worried as of now because i don't think we're gonna keep winning games because i think we just hit a little spark and played a couple of teams that aren't playing all that well. I hope we end up with a top 3 pick or the top pick but all is not lost if we don't and remember that the team with the worst record hasn't won the top pick since it was D.Howard so we'll be alright either way.
newyorker4ever
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3/1/2015  11:36 AM
gunsnewing wrote:Watch us get pick 11

no Towns
no Ok4
no Russel
no Mudiay
no Portis
no Johnson
no Stein
no Winslow
no Turner
no Porzingis

F.Kaminsky

blkexec
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3/1/2015  1:26 PM    LAST EDITED: 3/1/2015  1:28 PM
newyorker4ever wrote:
gunsnewing wrote:Watch us get pick 11

no Towns
no Ok4
no Russel
no Mudiay
no Portis
no Johnson
no Stein
no Winslow
no Turner
no Porzingis

F.Kaminsky

http://espn.go.com/ncb/notebook/_/page/woodenwatch150226/drop-kaminsky-no-1

If we pick Russel.....Then my second mid first round pick would be this guy (assuming Phil can grab another pick)

Born in Brooklyn, Raised in Queens, Lives in Maryland. The future is bright, I'm a Knicks fan for life!
fishmike
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3/2/2015  10:13 AM
Im happy for these players and this coach. Its been a long bad season and they need to get some wins here and there.

And some perspective for the babies worried about ruining draft position.

If the Knicks played .500 ball and went 12-12 over their last 24 (they wont) they would have a .292 winning % and based on current standings would drop them to 4th worst.

So please.. they are a pro team of grown men, not a video game. Some wins are good... Knicks are getting a blue chip player in the draft.

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
nixluva
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3/2/2015  10:20 AM
fishmike wrote:Im happy for these players and this coach. Its been a long bad season and they need to get some wins here and there.

And some perspective for the babies worried about ruining draft position.

If the Knicks played .500 ball and went 12-12 over their last 24 (they wont) they would have a .292 winning % and based on current standings would drop them to 4th worst.

So please.. they are a pro team of grown men, not a video game. Some wins are good... Knicks are getting a blue chip player in the draft.


Thanks for the Perspective. It seems that for some reason this year more than most we have lost perspective on this forum. Yes we all want a top pick. We also have to develop as many capable players as we can for the future. It seems that many of us are so down on the team that they don't realize we have a LOT of young players we're trying to develop. For this to work we have to develop as many of these younger players as possible and in addition see if some of these older vets can be brought back. For every player that we already have and can keep it saves us millions on next years cap.
WaltLongmire
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3/2/2015  1:16 PM
nixluva wrote:
fishmike wrote:Im happy for these players and this coach. Its been a long bad season and they need to get some wins here and there.

And some perspective for the babies worried about ruining draft position.

If the Knicks played .500 ball and went 12-12 over their last 24 (they wont) they would have a .292 winning % and based on current standings would drop them to 4th worst.

So please.. they are a pro team of grown men, not a video game. Some wins are good... Knicks are getting a blue chip player in the draft.


Thanks for the Perspective. It seems that for some reason this year more than most we have lost perspective on this forum. Yes we all want a top pick. We also have to develop as many capable players as we can for the future. It seems that many of us are so down on the team that they don't realize we have a LOT of young players we're trying to develop. For this to work we have to develop as many of these younger players as possible and in addition see if some of these older vets can be brought back. For every player that we already have and can keep it saves us millions on next years cap.

Was I excited about the Knicks watching the Toronto game? Yes

Am I also worried that we might lose ground in the draft and not get the kind of player we really need? Yes


You are talking about fool's gold, when we get too excited over winning games at this point. I want to see our younger guys develop, and I'm rooting for guys like Thomas, Amundson, and Schved to show they belong on the team in some capacity, but I also have an eye on the larger picture.

We have the miss on Curry as one example of how a single slot position can change alter the future of a team. As a NY Jets fan, I am still angry over the late surge by the Jets two years ago that allowed us to miss a great receiver like a Beckham, and I was annoyed that we won our last game this year.

Not sure some folks will be thinking the same way if we miss by one pick, or win ourselves out of a top 4 pick, and don't get a player who could transform the future of the franchise.

I might feel differently if our team was entirely made up of 21-23 year old players, and we already had a nucleus of young players who would eventually mature into a competitive team, but that is not the case with the Knicks.

One other thing which all of you guys are giving a blind eye to: The player we signed who is supposed to be the foundational player on the Knicks is now not a part of any "development" that is going to happen during the rest of the season.


Anthony played hard in the games he played in, but he has also played outside of the Triangle system in many ways, and there were many times during the season where big plays were run in the same way that Woodson would have run them.

Do any of you guys really think that Schved would have been the decision maker the other day with Anthony on the floor?

If Anthony was part of this late system development, and I saw him meshing with the other guys in the system Phil and Fisher want the team to play, I would feel better about winning games at this point in the season, but this is not the case.

If Bargs does not want to be here next year, and Phil is certain he does not want him back- I don't want Bargnani playing major minutes the rest of the year, even if he is producing. Same goes for Calderon, to be honest. I know he is under contract, but I don't need to see anything from him at this point unless he is auditioning for a future trade.

These are the guys we have to evaluate, IMO:

Guards- Larkin, Schved, Galloway, Hardaway (also at the 3)

Forwards- Wear, Acey, Early, Thomas

Forwards/Centers- Smith, Amundson, Aldrich


I just think that people have to see the big picture. Some in favor of tanking may not put things in a way that others can feel good about, and there is no way to get the guys on our squad to intentionally lose games, but I, for one, have come to terms with losing with the hope of a top draft pick looming in the horizon.

EnySpree: Can we agree to agree not to mention Phil Jackson and triangle for the rest of our lives?
fishmike
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3/2/2015  1:23 PM
yea Walt... there are two big pictures. A good draft AND using these games to evaluate talent. About that last part.. are you going to tell your young guys to play hard but not too hard? I mean what are we doing if we cant see if these guys can win some games? Dont you want to know if these guys have the stomach to hit some big shots? Stats in blowouts dont mean much. Everyone knows when your up 20 the focus becomes getting good shots and continuing to score. The Knicks are going to have plenty of good players to pick from.
"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
FistOfOakley
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3/2/2015  2:05 PM
a realistic shot at #1 in a draft where it matters can simultaneously makeup for a lot of past mistakes and make ur decisions look better... thats what happens when you get a TRUE difference maker...

If we move out of that spot it doesnt matter what else happens in the offseason or what happens in the next few years even... losing out on stephen curry for jordan hill setup a whole mess of events that we see now and have experienced.. getting someone like stanley johnson vs a karl towns is going to equally be as bad...

this draft pick is the most important part of the offseason.. it trumps signing anyone or the status of melos rehab... we were fortunate enough to be this bad at the perfect time.. if we screw it up or some pingpong balls dont go our way it will impact the franchise for the next decade...

we are gonna screw up the draft position

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