TripleThreat wrote:F500ONE wrote:A 2018 1st is of no relevance to our future successZero whatsoever, keep telling yourself it would be
The current rookie slotting system and contract setup is vested until 2020.
There will be almost certainly be a labor war in 2016-2017.
There is a current strong push in the ownership group to shift the current lottery from 3 teams to SIX TEAMS. This is part of the measures proposed to reduce tanking and give more teams a chance not to end up on the league "treadmill of slow death"
No one is quite sure what the new labor war will bring. 2018 in sports time is FOREVER from now. To say, what could be the first overall pick in that 2018 draft for the Knicks given lottery reform and the fallout of the next labor war, and just say it has no value now is crazy.
The reason teams are hoarding first round picks right now, and even 2nds in some cases, is because that vested 2020 window gives franchises COST CERTAINTY over those players. They aren't just cheap cost controlled labor, but they are grandfathered in to prevent the impact of a new labor deal from having an inflationary impact on their value. It's the same reason why folks who think the Knicks can get a 1st rounder out of Shumpert or STAT or Bargs are smoking crack.
FIRST ROUND PICKS IN THE MODERN NBA ARE WORTH GOLD. They don't always pan out, and they have limited value to contenders edging near the cap consistently, but THEY ARE WORTH SOLID GOLD TO A TEAM LIKE THE KNICKS.
It wasn't that long ago that the NFC West in the NFL was THE WORST division in all of pro football. Until it became a powerhouse. And now teams there are struggling again. To try to be predictive of draft value FOUR YEARS from now in pro sports is insane.
However look at the tea leaves. The owners WON THE LAST LABOR WAR. The players had to give back a good chunk of money and eat shorter contracts overall. Teams didn't get hard capped bu the luxury tax and repeater system essentially created an invisible hard cap for the league. Superstars will always get paid, that's simply a reality of pro sports, however draft picks mean cheap labor, and the NBA is moving towards the NFL model of using cheap labor.
The trick to a good organization is seeking out MARKET INEFFICIENCIES. Seeking value where the rest of the league OVERLOOKS IT. When Don Nelson was scouting internationally, even long long before even the Spurs were doing it, he was looking for hidden value. Same when he mined the CBA for guys like Mario Elie. Or got Manute Bol to stretch the floor as a three point shooter.
The consistent trend of bad organizations is to buck market trends of the entire league in the current marketplace. If the rest of the league covets and values 1st rounders, there is a REASON FOR IT. When the Knicks behave in a manner that devalues them, it works to the detriment of the franchise. It's like the Knicks trying to sell ice cream in the winter time. When the rest of the league is selling heavy jackets and space heaters.
What is "cutting bait" on Bargs?
He has ZERO CURRENT TRADE VALUE. You want to pay him so he can go play for another team? Where he might help a team win or lose (more likely lose), and if he does, what if it impacts the Knicks draft slot?
With Smith and STATs injury history and the general trend for big men in the NBA to be more injury prone than other positions, why tempt fate and cut him now when you might need the warm body later?
Also Bargs, until his rights are renounced, even as a free agent, IIRC, still offers the Knicks his BIRD RIGHTS. Which may offer a low chance , even a really low chance, to be useful in the offseason in some other move.
F500ONE, dude, actually read the current CBA sometime.
TT I understand the value of picks
Hence we never should have traded
Novak-Camby-2 2nd rounders-1st
For Bargnani in the first place
What you don't understand is the value I outlined
In previous posts by trading him
If we are going to be good come 2017, 2018
The pick will not enhance our ability to win
It could possibly stretch the window so-to-speak
But it's a reach to say so
The only way the pick has GOLD value is if we suck
I don't think Phil is planning on fielding a bad team come 2018
The lost value in the pick can be made up
By acquiring 2nd rounders along the way until then
Bargnani is an anchor that has weighed this
Team down since day 1 of acquisition, end of story
And if Picks are GOLD as you say Phil should
Have dumped Shumpert for a 1st on multiple occasions
As Shumpert has almost no shot to be part
Of a long term rebuild here
The sad thing Shumpert could have been traded
For a 1st yielded next yr of the yr after