GS is a lock for the playoffs, I think, but I'm not sure they can make it out of the first round without Bogut and a focused David Lee (and a healthy Jack). I've been watching them all year and I've been surprised by a few things:
1. If Brandon Rush and Bogut weren't injured, GS might be able to compete in the West. I was expecting GS to be interesting this year but I wasn't expecting Jack and Laundry to be so efficient, Thompson to learn some defense, or Harrison Barnes to contribute much at all. I figured the team needed more experience and some talent upgrades before they could compete.
2. Curry's role, PG or SG, is still a little iffy but his pacing/efficiency and general control of the game and of his teammate's game has improved significantly. Also, Curry can play smart team defense and he's drawing tougher defensive assignments. He doesn't always shutdown other stars but he can take them out of their game. Assuming his ankle holds up, in a year or two, he should be one of the top PGs in the league. Tonight wasn't the best example because GS had to change their game to deal with David Lee's suspension but on a usual night, Curry does all the smart stuff that, say, Paul and Rose and Nash do to manage their teammates, control the tempo, make adjustments, set up plays, and so on. Yeah, Curry can shoot the ball and play smart but it was unclear until recently if he could be da man and run a team. He can run a team. He's going to get better if the talent around him gets better.
3. Mark Jackson can coach. I tend to think half of Jackson's coaching is "What Steph said." and I'm usually suspicious of preacher-type coaches (and if you watched Jackson closely, you've seen that most of what he says in the huddle is "Believe!") and Jackson has been a little iffy with end game coaching but . . . he's been brilliant coaching the players he has to work with. He's developed younger players and generally expected smarter play from all of his players. He focuses on very fundamental basketball skills--he's no strategist like Popovich or MDA--and he maximizes the talents of his players and lets players, like Curry and Jack, make decisions on the fly. I didn't think I'd like Jackson as a coach but I think he's probably going to be coaching for a while and, if surrounded by the right assistants, he might end up a very good coach.